Oct. 29th, 2008

squirrelhaven: extreme close-up of a red flower (Default)
If it's not one preoccupation, it's the other:

I've been checking the electoral projections at fivethirtyeight.com at least once a day for the last many weeks (that is, the days that I've made it to my computer at all), to try to keep myself reassured that Obama's got a very good chance of becoming the next president. The daily poll tracking has almost all been encouraging; even when it shows a slight improvement for McCain, it's along the lines of "Well, yesterday McCain was down by 12 points, today he's only down by 10 points," and even those small gains tend to disappear within a day or two. But the thing I find myself staring at every day is the pie chart in the upper left corner of the page, showing the odds on Obama's win. I have never seen the site place those odds below 90%, and usually they're above 95%.

Upon checking the site this morning, I remembered a nightmare from last night, in which Obama's win percentage had dropped to around 70%. My heart was in my throat for a moment, until I'd digested today's actual figure: 96.2%.

I'll be so glad when this election is over. (Unless we lose. In which case I'll be devastated. But let's not think about that.)

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